Ten Overrated Fantasy Football Picks for 2011

September 1, 2011 at 9:26 am Leave a comment

1. Tony Romo

  • Tony “Slow-mo” seems poised for a big season with top targets Austin, Bryant, and Witten close or in the prime of their career.  Nevertheless, he is going too high when you can get a decent combo a few rounds later or wait for Big Ben.  He still makes silly mistakes and doesn’t handle pressure well.  Looking at his per game averages from last year, he could be that breakout QB but I’ll wait for another proficient QB later.

2. Benjarvus Green-Ellis

  • Don’t understand the love for this guy, when he was an afterthought for many last season.  Ranked in the top 30 by many.  Belichick likes him, but he’s a scrap heap back.  They drafted two talented backs in the first three rounds and my guess is Ridley at the least carves half of his role by the end of the season.  Either way, the New England Patriots have four backs who will touch the football and I’d rather avoid the situation or take a flier on Ridley.

The "Law Firm" has too many partners to draft

3. DeAngelo Williams

  • Once again I refuse to draft him.  With three competent backs (himself, Stewart, and Goodson) and a QB that needs a lot of work, I don’t want to use a top pick on a guy who has an injury history and limited upside.  Although the OL is back and Cam could reinvigorate the run game, this situation also is not for me.

4. Greg Jennings

  • Hard to put the #1 WR for the defending champs here, but with Finley back, Cobb drafted, and Jones re-signed I just don’t think the targets will be there to justify the high pick.  Both inside the redzone and out.  Although, Rodgers has shown that back-shoulder connection with him this preseason and he’s been solid, but so many other options on the team, I’d rather get a guy I know will be feed the ball.

5. Miles Austin

  • Been out with an injury and Dez has been getting more comfortable.  Cowboys should be pass first with Felix being the primary back, but I think Bryant carves into Austin’s numbers and the injury is only slightly concerning.  Hamstring injuries are never pretty and for a route runner, it has to be a flag.

6. Ryan Grant

  • He is being picked so much higher than James Starks, which is appalling.  They are in a split and I haven’t seen that initial burst that Grant used to have when he gets a handoff.  Starks should be more ready to play on passing downs and might be the more talented back at this time.  Even rookie Alex Green could push both for touches, thus I’d rather wait on Starks than invest earlier on Grant.

7. Michael Turner

  • The “Burner” was burned out at the end of last season.  Now, Snelling is playing more instead of just backing up and rookie Jaquizz Rogers is likely to play as a change of pace back.   He’s at that age, after a heavy workload, where if he feel off I don’t think anyone would be surprised.

Turner Might Be Burned Out

8. Daniel Thomas

  • After the Draft so many writers rushed to their CPU to say he was a sleeper and gonna carry the load for the Dolphins.  A few months later he has disappointed and is being drafted too high with Reggie Bush on board.  As I predicted,  he is struggling between the tackles, so much so that the team signed Larry Johnson!

9. Tight End (after first 4) and D/ST (except Pitt).

  • After the first four TEs, I think you should wait…unless you get good value for Daniels or Graham.  Defenses, my philosophy is to pick them second to last and matchup from week to week.  Denver looks promising for the opening weeks or Cleveland vs. Cincy in Week 1.

10. Chris Johnson

  • Holding out, thus there’s no certainty that he’ll play Week One, and even if he does do you expect 150 yards and 2 TDs? In my view it is more likely he gets injured.
Dishonorable Mentions
  • I suppose Arian Foster could be on the list since he is already battling hamstring injury, lost Vonte Leach, won’t be sneaking up on anyone, and has Ben Tate + Ward behind him.
  • Julio Jones is going higher and higher despite Douglas emerging as a viable slot receiver.
  • Lastly, Eli Manning has looked awful this preseason.

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2011 Fantasy Football Value Picks – Who to Target 2011 Fantasy Football Deep Sleepers

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