Fantasy Football: Rookie Running Back Outlook
Previewing what to expect from the rookie running backs in the 2011 season. This is an update from the situational analysis where I looked at how each back’s talents matched the scheme of their new team. Things can change in the blink of an eye in the NFL, one injury and you’re forgotten, so it’s important to know where these guys stand and what they can do.
- Status: First on the depth chart.
- Upside: Main runner for one of the league’s best offenses. Physical runner who could dominate behind a stellar interior line.
- Downside: Payton never fully commits to one back. PT could grab playing time and Ivory goalline carries.
- Analysis: The best runner, in the best situation could be a star for years to come. Has impressed many in camp and is the key to the Saints re-balancing the offense. Ingram is currently being drafted in the 5th round and you could certainly make a move for him before that given other less attractive options. Ranked #17th in my RB Rankings.
- Status: Backup to Beanie Wells
- Upside: Clearly the more talented player than his counterpart Wells. If healthy, should claim starting job and he is an explosive player who could surprise many.
- Downside: An injury risk and not the best offensive line, run-game.
- Analysis: Big fan of Williams who I’ve seen go in the 8th round, a prime area of the draft for high upside guys. Although a heath risk, his talent is undeniable and a player to target.
- Status: 2nd on the depth chart.
- Upside: Although Bush is first on the depth chart, Thomas might be the best of the two between the tackles. Dolphins may want the rookie to earn that #1 position.
- Downside: Could struggle in first year as runs a bit high. Bush will have his role and Hillard could be the best inside runner.
- Analysis: After the draft dozens of Fantasy Football sleeper articles were written about him. Has been going too high for me. Dolphins could rely on the run game and D this season, so there are carries to be had just depends on the cost.
- Status: 2nd/3rd on chart.
- Upside: Power inside runner who could replace Addai as starter by the end of the season.
- Downside: Could fail to seize any opportunity, as starter or goalline back.
- Analysis: Article from May – Fantasy Football Sleeper
- Status: Backup to Frank Gore
- Upside: Gore is always missing time, whether 4 games or more.
- Downside: When healthy, Gore is a beast.
- Analysis: Definitely worth the handcuff or if you want to store him on the roster, should be valuable a few weeks.
Mikell Leshoure: Out for the season
- Bringing an old favorite, MoMorris, back to fantasy relevance as the odds are stacked against Best staying healthy. Latest report has the Lions looking at Harrison.
- Stevan Ridley: A banger who gets a chance to standout from fellow draftee Vereen because of injury. Patriots will probably use all 4 or 5 backs, making the situation unpleasant for FFB owners. Here’s what I wrote about this Thunder & Lightning combo.
- Demarco Murray: He is in a muddled mess in Dallas, I would have him as the 3rd down back…Not a gifted inside runner but should put up good receiving stats. Jones and Choice are easily injured, could get his shot sometime.
- Helu & Royster: Now both behind two RBs in Torain and Hightower for a weak offense.
- Jacquizz Rogers: Change of pace back who should make small contributions but with ATL resigning Snelling, isn’t the backup.
- Alex Green: At least 3rd on the depth chart.
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